Concerns Over Steel Prices As Demand Recovers

Steel suppliers are set to benefit as global demand isWhile the growth in demand is good news for steel
expected to increase over the next three months, asuppliers, there is concern about the outlook for
market survey by The Steel Index found.prices. The improvement in demand led a number of
While survey respondents also expect prices to besteelmakers to restart furnaces or increase output,
higher over this time, other research firms warn thatcreating fears that this might have been too much,
increased production by steelmakers may offset thetoo soon.
expected positive impact of higher demand on prices.Steel suppliers have been benefiting from steadily
ArcelorMittal, the world's largest steelmaker, saidincreasing prices since the start of the Northern
demand growth in China will be particularly strong.Hemisphere summer, but drops of about 8% in the
However, the US and European markets, which werepast month have been recorded on hot-rolled coil, a
hit hard by the economic crisis, are not expected tobenchmark grade, research firm World Steel
normalize in 2010. Steel suppliers should focus onDynamics said.
emerging markets and China will represent nearlyThe quick return to falling prices is proof of the
80% of the global market this year, according tovulnerability of the global economic recovery, analysts
ArcelorMittal.warn, and steel suppliers should tread with caution.
While world steel demand dropped by almost 2% inAs steel demand is closely linked to a variety of end
2008 and is expected to continue declining this year,markets, ranging from consumers (e.g. vehicles, white
leaving a number of steel suppliers in financialgoods) to industrial users (e.g. construction,
difficulty, ArcelorMittal expects a return to growthmachinery), demand and prices are expected to
rates of 3 to 5% next year, driven mainly byremain volatile for the near future and will remain so
emerging markets.until the global economic outlook is more certain.